Recent victories in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire special elections suggest Democrats can score huge wins in the fight to control state legislatures. That changes everything.
One day it’s “Trump beats Biden in polls,” the next it’s “Democrats are on a winning streak.” Yeesh, I can’t keep up. The oooooonly poll that matters is the one on election day.
It’s a radical thought, but do you think reading the actual article would help to convey this subtle point?
edit: for example, the first paragraph:
“Democrats have secured majority control of the Pennsylvania House and moved within one seat of ending Republican control of the New Hampshire House. Those wins are not aberrations. They are the latest measures of a nationwide blue wave that has seen Democrats outperform expectations in 24 of 30 special elections for open state legislative seats this year. Legislative contests that were once considered local or regional races are being nationalized, as concerns about abortion rights and voting rights—two issues that are up for grabs in statehouses—are putting Republican candidates in a perilous position.”
I think it’s important to recall that there are people within and outside the US who are doing all they can to make the US dysfunctional politically and administratively.
It’s like that in other democracies too. It’s like analysists about the markets. They all know jack-shit but need to report something to justify their existence in media. The outcome is usually close enough to make them stay but never quite the actual result.
One day it’s “Trump beats Biden in polls,” the next it’s “Democrats are on a winning streak.” Yeesh, I can’t keep up. The oooooonly poll that matters is the one on election day.
This article is talking about Democratic wins in actual elections.
It’s a radical thought, but do you think reading the actual article would help to convey this subtle point?
edit: for example, the first paragraph:
“Democrats have secured majority control of the Pennsylvania House and moved within one seat of ending Republican control of the New Hampshire House. Those wins are not aberrations. They are the latest measures of a nationwide blue wave that has seen Democrats outperform expectations in 24 of 30 special elections for open state legislative seats this year. Legislative contests that were once considered local or regional races are being nationalized, as concerns about abortion rights and voting rights—two issues that are up for grabs in statehouses—are putting Republican candidates in a perilous position.”
Link from article (https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-winning-big-special-elections/story?id=103315703)
I think it’s important to recall that there are people within and outside the US who are doing all they can to make the US dysfunctional politically and administratively.
I agree, but did you reply to the right person?
It’s like that in other democracies too. It’s like analysists about the markets. They all know jack-shit but need to report something to justify their existence in media. The outcome is usually close enough to make them stay but never quite the actual result.
The article agrees with you.
These are actual elections. “Winning streak” means they won in actual elections, not polls.
It even specifically mentions that Democrats are outperforming expectations (those expectations are driven by Polls)