The mastodon and lemmy content I’m seeing feels like 90% of it comes from people who are:
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~30 years old or older
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tech enthusiasts/workers
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linux users
There’s nothing wrong with that particular demographic or anything, but it doesn’t feel like a win to me if the entire fediverse is just one big monoculture.
I wonder what it is that is keeping more diverse users away? Is picking a server/federation too complicated? Or is it that they don’t see any content that they like?
Thoughts?
Yup, OP doesn’t seem to understand that the Fediverse is still in an “early adopter” stage. For tech stuff, that’s a demographic which is usually dominated by male tech nerds. I suspect the age range is more diverse than the OP claims. Though, I imagine it centers somewhere near the 25-35 range, as those will be the people with the drive and time to
engage in online mental masturbationargue with people on the internet.Also, the math will make the median age skew older. Each older person will have a larger effect on moving the average age up. For example, consider 3 people with ages 45, 20, and 18. they have an average age of of just a bit over 27. There is a lot of room for us old farts to drag the average up while there is only a small range for the kids to drag it down. There might be the rare 9-10 year old who has the wherewithal to make an account and comment. But, I don’t suspect the user base will get all that much younger. Whereas, there’s probably lots of late 30’s and 40 year old users and some even older. Take those same three ages listed above and add in a precocious 10 year old and a 60 year old grey beard. The average is now just over 30. That older person had a larger effect on the average than the kid.
Also, age doesn’t matter all that much. The important thing is that the early adopters are here and making content. Ideally, this will build out the site and others may follow (or not, not every trend works out). But hopefully, this will end up like the Great Digg Migration before it, which fed the Reddit beast. And we’ll have something a new, different and maybe actually better this time.
My biggest concern certainly isn’t age groups. My biggest concern is interest groups. The initial influx from the Reddit protests created a lot of communities that will definitely become ghost towns. And there’s going to need to be a process to clean that up eventually. The interests that are here right now are good for keeping the people already here. What’s going to be interesting to watch is if broader appeal topics will start to grow or not. As I said, I expect a lot of die-off actually in the early days as people try out the Fediverse but then go back to what they were already used to.
Reddit had a lot of help from being a private company when they were growing. Anyone familiar with Reddit’s history will know that it got propped up in part, eventually, by really high-quality celebrity events like the AMAs (Ask Me Anythings) coordinated with big names in multiple fields, though most popularly film and television. I worry that the Fediverse, as a decentralized entity, will never have something like that. Producers, movie marketers, agents, people like that are far less likely to take a call from someone running a Lemmy instance than they were from an outreach officer of a private company that had some weight behind it. Now, that’s not the only way to grow, but… Damn it helps.