Haley only lost by 10 points , that is a lot closer than it could have been.
But I’m more interested in if she drops out now, and then when they give Trump the nomination even though it appears he won’t be on a bunch of states ballots (14th amendment ) in November, what does the GOP do?
He will be on ballots. All of them. The question is how sweeping the Supreme Court is going to be when getting him back on the ballots, not whether or not it will happen.
But if she drops out and he had a stroke or something, early enough, DeSantis can un-suspend his campaign and start back up (Haley could too), or in the convention Trumps delegates can vote for someone else… if it’s after the convention the party probably just makes his VP the candidate.
To do that though the Supreme Court would be stating that it’s ok for a President to lead an insurrection to stay in power, that basically the President is above the law. Very much in line with the immunity claim Trump has before them now. I don’t see how they could state the law is both against a President having absolute immunity, and also that insurrection is fine for a President. He is either above the law (and the Supreme Court) or he isn’t. And I don’t see the Supreme Court wanting to defer power to anyone else, especially a dictator that will do away with the court as to prevent any oversight.
To do that though the Supreme Court would be stating that it’s ok for a President to lead an insurrection to stay in power, that basically the President is above the law.
They don’t HAVE to. They could say “for this to apply the person has to be convicted of the crime of insurrection, Trump hasn’t been, until he is, he is back on the ballot.”
There’s all sorts of legal arguments against that interpretation but there are legal arguments for it too, and it doesn’t say the president is above the law it just says this former president is not being removed from ballots yet…de facto not ever for this person because he hasn’t even been charged for “insurrection” but it leaves open the possibility that someday a former president could be.
Haley only lost by 10 points , that is a lot closer than it could have been.
But I’m more interested in if she drops out now, and then when they give Trump the nomination even though it appears he won’t be on a bunch of states ballots (14th amendment ) in November, what does the GOP do?
With 87% in it’s now +11.
Steve Kornacki on MSNBC tried to show every scenario for Haley to get to the nomination and he said there’s zero chance.
He will be on ballots. All of them. The question is how sweeping the Supreme Court is going to be when getting him back on the ballots, not whether or not it will happen.
But if she drops out and he had a stroke or something, early enough, DeSantis can un-suspend his campaign and start back up (Haley could too), or in the convention Trumps delegates can vote for someone else… if it’s after the convention the party probably just makes his VP the candidate.
To do that though the Supreme Court would be stating that it’s ok for a President to lead an insurrection to stay in power, that basically the President is above the law. Very much in line with the immunity claim Trump has before them now. I don’t see how they could state the law is both against a President having absolute immunity, and also that insurrection is fine for a President. He is either above the law (and the Supreme Court) or he isn’t. And I don’t see the Supreme Court wanting to defer power to anyone else, especially a dictator that will do away with the court as to prevent any oversight.
They don’t HAVE to. They could say “for this to apply the person has to be convicted of the crime of insurrection, Trump hasn’t been, until he is, he is back on the ballot.”
There’s all sorts of legal arguments against that interpretation but there are legal arguments for it too, and it doesn’t say the president is above the law it just says this former president is not being removed from ballots yet…de facto not ever for this person because he hasn’t even been charged for “insurrection” but it leaves open the possibility that someday a former president could be.