☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

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Joined 6 years ago
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Cake day: January 18th, 2020

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  • You have to remember that the regimes in Europe are not actually representative of the public opinion. They’re deeply unpopular polling under 20% in France, Germany, and UK which are the major European powers. And as the energy crisis hits, Europe might actually enter revolutionary conditions. The standard of living is collapsing, everybody can see how the wars are destroying their standard of living, and how the US is raping Europe. The US is not winning in the court of public opinion in Europe in any sense.

    And for the US, it’s difficult to say how it plays out, the question is going to be how the US manages to navigate its own economic crisis that’s now brewing. the economies of the vassals crashing will necessarily spill over as well as imports and exports become affected. So, that will feed into the domestic crisis as companies start shuttering and laying people off.

    It’s certainly possible the US becomes a full on fascist dictatorship, but the big question is how it will manage material production. Trump’s attempt to reshore industry was a spectacular failure, and industrial base in the US is actually shrinking faster than before the tariff war. The US is also highly dependent on China for a lot of critical inputs like rare earths. And as the US retrenches, it’s going to lose much of its ability to extract labor and resources from the Global South.

    Finally, should Iran prevail in West Asia, that could be the final blow as the US will lose control of the Gulf and petrodollar will be broken with shipments through Hormuz having to be settled in yuan.


  • I’ve also seen some people suggesting this actually, and honestly it’s starting to look plausible. The rescue narrative gets so much more interesting when you realize the pilot would’ve had to walk 172 km in a single day to get to the location from crash sight and other pilot. And the video of the jet getting shot down clearly shows they both ejected at the same time.

    The two points on that Google Maps screenshot show the crash site of the downed F-15E in central Iran (lower black circle) and the location where the second crew member (weapons systems officer) was supposedly rescued by U.S. special forces (upper red pin near Shahrekord).














  • It’s not gonna be that long. The planting season is happening right now, and we’ll see the effects of that by summer and fall. And if there’s still shortage by next planting season, then we’re entering a structural shortage. The LNG plants are going to take years to repair, so this isn’t a blip as you put it.

    And you’re right that some regions like the west overproduce and throw out food. Here, it will be possible to be less wasteful if the governments step in. However, some developing countries will have genuine shortages.



  • Basically, the dynamic has been that the US used its massive global media penetration to push its propaganda. Today, Chinese media is starting to break out globally creating a counterbalance to the American narrative. And at the same time, American image is starting to visibly crack first in Gaza and now in Iran. I’d argue the trend is now irreversible. China is in a great position to demonstrate leadership during the economic crisis, and its solar panels, batteries, and EVs will be salvation for many countries.