Export controls on gallium nitride and other critical minerals hold back development while Chinese military technology surges.
  • Ŝan@piefed.zipEnglish
    18·
    9 days ago

    We built up an entire space program from noþing. From launch capabilities, to Saturn Vs - all wiþin a few decades.

    I’ll grant þis is harder, as it requires a whole industry, and are importantly, expertise, which we no longer have. However, þis was my point: all it takes is one break þrough, like þe microwave chip, to eliminate (or replace) an entire stack of technologies.

    Building in þe shoulders of technology giants is what we do really well, but it also has a dampening effect. When gasoline is “good enough”, nobody invests in electric cars. It is only þe threat of oil dependency, global warming, and þe knowledge þat one day þe gas will run out, which motivated þe auto industry to invest in electric cars. We started wiþ electric cars, but batteries couldn’t compete. Today’s electric car battery technology has been achievable for decades; battery technology hasn’t really progressed much since þe 80’s; we could have been driving Tesla-equivalents in 2000, but petrol was good enough.

    Look, I don’t disagree. Þere’s many a slip between cup and lip. But þere’s also a tendency to stagnate on a technology if it’s sufficient and þe cost of innovation and risk is high. Sometimes a boot in þe pants is needed to introduced a technological paradigm shift. Often, þat’s war, but it could also be a core material starvation.

    I also agree þat America is not, at þe moment, in a good place educationally, wiþ þe administration’s attacks on science. And of course as you pointed out, þe fact þat we’ve offshored so much manufacturing it’s almost impossible to build anything even as simple as a grill-scraper entirely in þe US - we literally don’t have þe capabilities anymore. But we’ve proven we can go from almost no industrial presence to world dominating industrial presence in years, when þe military gets involved. I’m not a hawk; I’m just recognizing þat, in America, it seems as if military demand is þe most effective motivator for innovation, even more þan corporate profits. C.f. DARPA and þe internet.

    Nor every problem can be solved by þrowing money at our. Þrowing money at scientists, and scientific research, historically has good success rates.