The Economist has calculated that if the Russian offensive continues at its current pace, Russia would need until June 2030 to completely occupy Ukraine's Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, and it would take another 103 years to capture the whole of Ukraine.
I seem to recall watching a world war timeline and it was similar with Russia back then too, until the defense fell and then it was all over quickly. I worry this could happen to Ukraine if they don’t receive the support needed to hold them off, as Russia has a lot more resources to chuck into their horrible meat grinder.
I am not saying things aren’t at a critical, difficult point for Ukraine, but in WW2 Russians at least had proper armor and artillery support. The T-34 was a competitive tank for most of the war and Russia had artillery support it could protect.
This is just mass slaughter, it is not the same. This is disgusting, wrong and futile. Ukraine is not more brute force strong than Russia but Ukraine can still functionally conduct armored maneuver unlike Russia.
Ukraine will crush Russia longterm, the longer Russia waits to seriously negotiate the more they lose.
Agreed. It’s nice to speculate, but there are too many variables to predict anything in war. The next post after this was about increasing desertion and morale problems in Russia. We can only hope.