From the numbers it seems a lot like the Russians are losing steam.
And although I know the news I see are biased towards Ukraine, there have been more stories the past month about Ukraine winning battles and taking back territory than usual.

I’ve even seen several claims Putin is now being accused of being a CIA asset by Russians, because he is destroying Russia.
And the Russian economic collapse is really beginning to hurt now, so contrary to the worker shortage they had for 2 years, Russia is now beginning to see unemployment! At the same time they have increasing inflation and shortages.
And to a large degree due to the refineries Ukraine has hit, the shortages of gas are now causing infrastructure failures.

Everything we have warned Russia would happen for more than a year now, is actually beginning to happen. What we are seeing now is not just an economy in recession, it’s the start of the collapse of the entire society.
Personally I don’t think Putin will outlast this winter.