I don’t disagree with that assessment, but from that perspective one of the broad longterm drivers for the onset of full-on-war in 2022 was driven by the structural dead end that russia set itself up with with regards to the green energy transition leaving them in the dust with hardly any domestic industry focused on it.

Setting themselves up to fail, they could only see Europe’s attempt to begin to slowly move away from dependence on fossil fuels, russia’s included, as a direct impetus to war because they were already out of options.

In other words, launching the “3 day special military operation” was part of that stretching.

These were choices russia made and committed to in their stupidity that made the warpath the only path they would accept in their hubris.