A small but substantial chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they would be so dissatisfied if Donald Trump became the party’s presidential nominee that they wouldn't vote for him in November’s general election.
Trump’s performance in the primaries shows that he’s a weak candidate. The kind of Hailey voter that Trump needs in November are not voting for her, they’re voting against him.
When he won SC, Trump bragged that he got “twice” the votes that he was supposed to get. But that’s a lie. Hailey got something like 15-20 points higher than the polls predicted. (538 said he was 27 points up, but he ended up winning by 11). If this trend holds for super Tuesday, there is good reason to be optimistic about November.
Trump’s performance in the primaries shows that he’s a weak candidate. The kind of Hailey voter that Trump needs in November are not voting for her, they’re voting against him.
When he won SC, Trump bragged that he got “twice” the votes that he was supposed to get. But that’s a lie. Hailey got something like 15-20 points higher than the polls predicted. (538 said he was 27 points up, but he ended up winning by 11). If this trend holds for super Tuesday, there is good reason to be optimistic about November.