The point of the video is that the 28 point peace plan is what Russia believes is their best case scenario. So they are from taking Ukraine in three days to they are doing an amazing job if they manage to take the Donbaz. That is really weak.

It is also in the interest of Ukraine. There are oil reserves in the parts of Ukraine currently occupied by Russia. Those pipelines are a great option to sell that oil to Hungary and so on.

Most European countries stopped importing Russian fossil fuels about a year after the full scale invasion. That reduced European spending on Russian fossil fuels by about 90%. Right now the big buyers are mainly Hungary and Slovakia as well as some LNG contracts, which have not been banned, because Hungary and Slovakia block those sanctions. Also pipeline oil remains an issue, but it seems like most European countries have just given Ukraine the go ahead to blow up the pipelines going towards Hungary. Well as long as the explosions happen in Russia.

These are just the financial figures for the first 9months. Ukraine only started attacking Russian refineries a lot in August and the Rosneft refineries have been hit only more recently. For example according to Wikipedia the Ryazan refinery was “It go boom. 15 November 2025.” So this is going to get a lot worse.

Also US sanctions are not part of this either.

One of the easiest way to deal with stuff like Shahed is to fly to them and shoot them down using a gun. Drones are no longer super cheap. They need to survive electronic warfare and that hardening costs a lot. A WW2 style prop plane with a 50cal or similar can just shoot down a Shahed no problem. There are plenty of trainer aircraft, which fit the bill.

It is until you realize how expensive this war is. The damage a drone does to an oil refinery probably costs a few millions to repair and even more in lost profits, if it actually stops production. Tanks cost a million a piece easily. Air defense, planes and so forth easily cost more. Even something like a Shahed is $200k per shot.

I am honestly shocked that South Korea does not send more aid to Ukraine.

numbers mean nothing unless you’re talking about money and sq. km of stolen land.

Not even that. Sanctions cost Russia a lot. So ending the war would give Putin a lot more money. He might even get away with some land from Ukraine.

The real problem is that ending the war in something, which might look like a defeat is a risk. The only ideological group in Russia allowed to operate somewhat freely are nazis. However they really like the war against Ukraine. So ending it is a risk.

It did not just happen. The last winter happened to be cold and most gas is used for heating. So more LNG was needed to fill up storage. Some of that came from Russia, but most from the US.

The good news is that the 19th sanctions package includes an LNG ban. So this is going to end in a bit over a year.

No, they get gas via pipeline.

France accounted for 41% of Europe’s imports of Russian LNG in H1 2025, followed by Belgium (28%), Spain (20%), the Netherlands (9%) and Portugal (2%).

Source(and also original source of the article): https://ieefa.org/european-lng-tracker#section9

There is an oil glut so prices are mostly falling. So the US has every reason to cut off foreign oil exports, to increase the global oil price.

This refinery is nearly 1000km from the front line. So any drone, which can hit it, could also hit St Petersburg, Samara, Moscow and so forth. It is also a pretty small refinery. The one in Yaroslavl has 300,000 bbl/d, Nizhny Novgorod has 341,000 bbl/d, Samara has two one with 140,000 bbl/d and one with 164,000 bbl/d and there are lot more of that sort of size, which could all be hit by a drone like the one used here. Remember this one has 4,000 bbl/d, so much much less capacity.

Ukraine only has to take out the really large ones to cause a fuel crisis in Russia, which every Russian will feel. At least the ones living roughly in range of the drones. This however is a small refinery, so hitting it is not needed to cause a fuel crisis. This is what you hit, when you have the drones to hit it and want to cause some extra problems.

In other words. Ukraine has drones to spare, so they will very likely start to attack other targets such as the electricity grid in a massive way soon. That is a harder target, but they seem to have enough drones.

It is 4,000 bbl/d there are a lot of refineries in Russia over 100,000 bbl/d. There are also a lot of other intressting targets, which are not refineries such as power plants. So the fact that Ukraine attacks this refinery shows that they really have a lot of drones.

It might not even matter. The towers are 50m apart and it is a tiny plant. This could well have hit both.

Intressting that they go for such a tiny refinery.

There are currently billions of frozen assets in the West and also oil and gas pipelines to Europe. With a peace deal, it would be possible to restart the sale of oil and gas and maybe even get the money. Even if they have to give it to Ukraine, that would be less of a problem, as they do not control it anyway. Especially if Putin gets couped, this might well leave Russia as part of the EU sphere of influence, which would give them the option to move soldiers 1000km from Bejing.

I would honestly not be surprised. Invading a collapsing Russia might well be easier, then invading Taiwan and China has claims of the Russian Far East.

Casulties are not deaths, but soldiers which can no longer fight. So when somebody gets badly wounded, they are also a casulty.

Still really horrible though.

Reached 1,111,111 casulties.

Russian deaths in WW1 were 1.7-2.25million. Obviously that is deaths and not casualties, but Meduza is at 132k deaths by name and 219k deaths by probate count. That was the Russian Empire, so a much larger country then modern day Russia, with a larger population and a much younger one as well.